![]() Predicted precipitation patterns for the May to September 2023-2027 average, compared to the 1991-2020 average, suggest increased rainfall in the Sahel, northern Europe, Alaska, and northern Siberia, and reduced rainfall for this season over the Amazon and parts of Australia.Compared to the 1991-2020 average, the temperature anomaly is predicted to be more than three times as large as the global mean anomaly when averaged over the next five northern hemisphere extended winters.Arctic warming is disproportionately high.There is a 98% chance that at least one of the next five years, and the five-year period as a whole, will be the warmest on record.There is a 66% chance that the annual average near-surface global temperature between 20 will be more than 1.5☌ above pre-industrial levels for at least one year.This is used as a baseline because it was before the emission of greenhouse gases from human and industrial activities. ![]()
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